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Tuesday, December 28, 2010


EUR/USD Technicals

  • Asian session: EUR/USD had an active session and it broke above 1.3180..
  • Current Range between 1.3180 and 1.3267.
  • Further levels in both directions: Below 1.3180, 1.3080, 1.30, 1.2920, 1.2722, 1.2587. Above 1.3267, 1.3334, 1.3576, 1.37, 1.3786, 1.3950 and 1.4030.
  • 1.3080 important support below
  • 1.3440 is important resistance above and remains as such after a breakout attempt failed.

EUR/USD Fundamentals -

  • 14:00 US S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI. Exp. -0.1%.
  • 15:00 US CB Consumer Confidence. Exp. 56.3 points.
  • 15:00 US Richmond Manufacturing Index. Exp. 11 points.

* All times are GMT.

For more events later in the week, see the EUR/USD forecast.

EUR/USD Sentiment

  • The Chinese rate hike risks global growth and triggered risk aversive trading, but at least for now, the effect is fading out.
  • Irish banks are still troubled and may draw weigh on the Euro.
  • France is danger of suffering a credit rating downgrade – France is Europe’s second largest economy. A downgrade or a warning will send the Euro way down.
  • Spanish bond yields have stabilized at high levels, around 5.50%
  • Trading volume isn’t as thin as yesterday, but it’s still low in comparison to regular days during the year.
  • Currensee Community: 50% are long , 50% are short. These are 1270 open positions in real accounts trading this pair at the moment.


Monday, December 27, 2010


  • Asian session: EUR/USD rose and bounced under 1.3180..
  • Current Range between 1.3080 to 1.3180.
  • Further levels in both directions: Below 1.3080, 1.30, 1.2920, 1.2722, 1.2587. Above 1.3114, 1.3180, 1.3267, 1.3334, 1.3576, 1.37, 1.3786, 1.3950 and 1.4030.
  • 1.3050 new lower frontier.
  • 1.3440 is important resistance above and remains as such after a breakout attempt failed.

EUR/USD Fundamentals -

No events today.

* All times are GMT.

EUR/USD Sentiment

  • The Chinese rate hike risks global growth and triggered risk aversive trading. While the Aussie suffers more than the Euro, the stronger US dollar might be felt also here.
  • Irish banks are still troubled and may draw weigh on the Euro.
  • France is danger of suffering a credit rating downgrade – France is Europe’s second largest economy. A downgrade or a warning will send the Euro way down.
  • Spanish bond yields have stabilized at high levels, around 5.50%
  • China said it helped the Euro-zone during the crisis, and is trying to get closer to Europe before the US-China summit. Will they push the Euro higher? Probably not.
  • Thin trading on Boxing Day means that any unexpected news will find the markets unprepared and technical lines aren’t as guarded as on normal days.
  • Currensee Community: 54% are long , 46% are short. These are 1239 open positions in real accounts trading this pair at the moment.